Genoa v AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips

May 5, 2025
2 Minute Read

Monday | 18:45 UTC | Stadio Luigi Ferraris | Serie A

AC Milan’s push for European football continues on Sunday night as they travel to Genoa. While the hosts are mathematically safe, Milan need to be flawless to keep their continental hopes alive through the league — or turn their full focus to the Coppa Italia final.

Genoa v AC Milan Analysis

With safety secured and no realistic shot at European qualification, Genoa enter this match playing only for pride. Their recent form reflects that with just one win in over a month, and goalless in three straight matches.

Il Grifone’s 2–0 defeat to Lazio last weekend snapped a strong home run, but they had previously won five of their last six Serie A matches at Stadio Luigi Ferraris. However, motivation may be limited for a side already settled in mid-table, and their scoring drought is a growing concern.

Genoa v AC Milan Analysis

Milan’s focus may well be on their Coppa Italia final against Bologna, which offers a direct route to the Europa League. But with four Serie A matches remaining, there’s still a faint hope of securing a top-six finish, though it would likely require perfection and help elsewhere.

Stefano Pioli’s men are in good form, winning four of their last five games and scoring multiple goals in each of those victories. Christian Pulisic has stepped up as the team’s most consistent threat, with 10 goals and 8 assists in the league, including 4 goal contributions in his last 5 away outings.

Genoa v AC Milan Odds

Milan are deserved favourites at 1.74 given their away record and Genoa’s recent slide. Genoa are 4.50 to pull off a home upset, while the draw is priced at 3.75. Over 2.5 goals is available at 1.79, with Milan hitting that number in 4 of their last 5 games.

Head-to-Head: Genoa v AC Milan

Milan have won 4 of their last 5 trips to Genoa, making Stadio Luigi Ferraris a surprisingly comfortable venue. Overall, the Rossoneri have claimed 6 wins in the last 10 meetings, while Genoa have just one.

Genoa v AC Milan Players to Watch

Christian Pulisic is the standout pick here. He’s 2.80 to score anytime, having found form on the road and chasing a personal best campaign.

Tijjani Reijnders, also into double digits for goal contributions, has quietly become Milan’s midfield engine.

Genoa’s top threat, Andrea Pinamonti, will need service to trouble Milan’s defence, something they’ve lacked lately,

Genoa v AC Milan Predicted Lineups

Genoa: Leali; Martin, Vasquez, Winter, Norton-Cuffy; Frendrup, Masini, Massias, Thorsby; Zanoli, Pinamonti
AC Milan: Maignan; Tomori, Gabbia, Pavlovic, Hernandez; Reijnders, Fofana, Jimenez; Pulisic, Abraham, Leao

Genoa v AC Milan Betting Tips

Milan to Win – 1.74
Over 2.5 Goals – 1.79
Christian Pulisic to Score Anytime – 2.80

Bet on Genoa v AC Milan

Odds correct at time of writing

Stephen is our resident Irishman who has been playing or watching sports in Ireland for nearly two decades. With more than 10 years of experience as a professional writer, Stephen enjoys exploring all aspects of sports to offer the best…

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