March 13, 2025
3 Minute Read
Liverpool v Newcastle – EFL Cup Final 2025 Betting Preview
The first major silverware of the season is on the line as Liverpool and Newcastle go head-to-head in the 2025 EFL Cup Final at Wembley this Sunday.
Liverpool are defending champions and the dominant force in English football this season, but a draining midweek clash against PSG could leave them vulnerable. Newcastle, despite their underdog status, will be desperate to claim their first domestic trophy since 1955.
Can the Reds shake off their Champions League disappointment, or will the Magpies pull off a historic upset? Let’s dive into the key talking points, betting odds, and our expert picks for the final.
Liverpool v Newcastle – Latest Betting Odds
📅 Match Date: Sunday, March 16, 2025
📍 Location: Wembley Stadium, London
⏰ Kick-off Time: 16:30 UTC
Match Odds
- Liverpool to win – 1.66
- Newcastle to win – 4.80
- Draw (90 mins) – 4.10
- Liverpool to lift the trophy – 1.35
- Newcastle to lift the trophy – 3.20
Liverpool are clear favourites, but with fatigue potentially being a factor, Newcastle will believe they have a chance to capitalise.
Liverpool – Can They Bounce Back After European Heartbreak?
Arne Slot’s side have been the best team in England this season, leading the Premier League and defending their EFL Cup crown. However, Tuesday’s Champions League exit against PSG in a grueling 120-minute battle could take a toll both physically and mentally.
🔹 Squad Depth Will Be Tested
The Reds have injury concerns, with Trent Alexander-Arnold and Conor Bradley ruled out, while Ibrahima Konate remains a doubt. With defensive reshuffling needed, Jarell Quansah could step in at right-back.
🔹 Red-Hot Attacking Form
Despite their European setback, Liverpool’s attack remains formidable. Mohamed Salah, Darwin Núñez, and Luis Díaz provide elite firepower, and they’ve already beaten Newcastle this season.
🔹 Experience & Mentality
Liverpool know how to win these games. They edged Chelsea in last year’s final, and their trophy-winning experience at Wembley gives them a significant advantage.
💡 Betting Pick: Liverpool to Win & Over 2.5 Goals (2.35)
Liverpool’s quality should shine through, but defensive fatigue could allow Newcastle to get on the scoresheet.
Newcastle – Can The Magpies Break Their Wembley Curse?
Newcastle have shown flashes of brilliance this season but have struggled for consistency. Eddie Howe is still seeking his first major trophy, and after losing the 2023 EFL Cup Final, he’ll be desperate to go one step further.
🔹 Injury Concerns & Suspensions
The Magpies are missing key men, with Anthony Gordon suspended and Sven Botman & Lewis Hall out injured. These absences could prove costly, especially in defence.
🔹 Past Record Against Liverpool
Newcastle have not beaten Liverpool in their last 17 meetings, a concerning statistic heading into this final. The last time they managed a win was back in 2015.
🔹 How Can They Win?
With key attackers available, Alexander Isak and Bruno Guimarães will be central to Newcastle’s hopes. The Magpies need to keep things tight early and take their chances when they come.
💡 Betting Pick: Both Teams to Score (1.64)
Newcastle should have chances against a tired Liverpool backline, but whether they can keep the Reds out is another question.
Predicted Lineups
Liverpool Starting XI (4-2-3-1)
Alisson; Quansah, Konate, Van Dijk, Robertson; Mac Allister, Gravenberch; Salah, Szoboszlai, Gakpo; Núñez
Newcastle Starting XI (4-3-3)
Pope; Trippier, Schar, Burn, Livramento; Guimarães, Tonali, Joelinton; Murphy, Isak, Barnes
Liverpool v Newcastle Prediction & Best Bets
Liverpool’s fatigue factor is the big talking point, but they still have more firepower, squad depth, and big-game experience than Newcastle.
Newcastle have struggled in big matches, and with key players missing, it’s hard to see them keeping Liverpool quiet for 90 minutes.
✅ Best Bet: Liverpool to Win (1.66)
✅ Value Bet: Correct Score – Liverpool 2-1 (7.75)
✅ Alternative Bet: Both Teams to Score (1.64)
Newcastle will put up a fight, but Liverpool’s winning mentality and quality edge should see them lift the EFL Cup for a second year running. 🏆
