UEFA Nations League Quarter-Finals Betting Predictions

The UEFA Nations League reaches the quarter-final stage this Thursday, with eight top European nations battling it out over two legs for a spot in the semi-finals this June. Let’s break down the biggest games and the best betting angles.

🇭🇷 Croatia v France 🇫🇷

📅 Thursday, 7:45 PM UTC
📍 Stadion Poljud, Split

Croatia came heartbreakingly close to lifting the trophy in 2023, only to lose to Spain on penalties in the final. They scraped through this time, edging Scotland by a single point in the group stage. Their record against France isn’t great, with just one win in their last six meetings, but that victory did come in their most recent clash.

France, on the other hand, arrive in fine form, unbeaten in five. Didier Deschamps is looking to guide his team back to silverware after a four-year drought. Having won the 2021 Nations League, Les Bleus know how to navigate this competition.

🔹 Key Stat: Both teams have scored in four of the last five matches between these sides.

✅ Betting Pick: Both Teams to Score & France to Win- 4.30
📊 Prediction: Croatia 1-2 France

🇩🇰 Denmark v Portugal 🇵🇹

📅 Thursday, 7:45 PM UTC
📍 Parken Stadium, Copenhagen

Denmark started the group stage in flying form with back-to-back wins over Switzerland and Serbia, but they failed to win any of their next four. History isn’t on their side either, with just one win in their last five meetings against Portugal.

Portugal remain unbeaten in the competition so far and are chasing a second Nations League title after their 2019 triumph. Roberto Martinez’s side are packed with attacking quality, and with Cristiano Ronaldo still leading the line, they’ll be confident of advancing to the semi-finals.

🔹 Key Stat: Portugal have won four of their Nations League games with both teams to score.

✅ Betting Pick: Both Teams to Score & Portugal to Win- 4.75
📊 Prediction: Denmark 1-2 Portugal

🇮🇹 Italy v Germany 🇩🇪

📅 Thursday, 7:45 PM UTC
📍 San Siro, Milan

Italy bounced back from a poor Euro 2024 campaign with an improved Nations League group stage, winning four of their six matches. However, they’ll need to break a worrying trend—just two wins in their last nine meetings against Germany.

Germany, meanwhile, have been in dominant form under Julian Nagelsmann. They cruised through their group unbeaten and haven’t lost a match since their extra-time defeat to Spain at the Euros. However, their away record against Italy is poor, with their last win coming in 1986.

🔹 Key Stat: Six of the last nine meetings between these sides have ended in a draw.

✅ Betting Pick: Draw- 3.20
📊 Prediction: Italy 1-1 Germany

🇳🇱 Netherlands v Spain 🇪🇸

📅 Thursday, 7:45 PM UTC
📍 De Kuip, Rotterdam

The Netherlands are chasing their first major international trophy since 1988, and after finishing as Nations League runners-up in 2019, they’ll be desperate to go one step further this time. They’ve been up and down under Ronald Koeman, losing just once since their Euro 2024 exit, yet winning just twice. More importantly, they have a strong recent record against Spain, unbeaten in their last three meetings.

Spain, however, are the team to beat. Reigning European and Nations League champions, Luis de la Fuente has transformed them into an efficient and ruthless outfit. Unbeaten in sixteen games, they head into this tie full of confidence.

🔹 Key Stat: Four of Spain’s last five games and seven of the Netherlands’ last ten have produced over 2.5 goals.

✅ Betting Pick: Both Teams to Score & Draw- 4.30
📊 Prediction: Netherlands 2-2 Spain

Final Thoughts & Best Bets

With everything on the line, the Nations League quarter-finals promise high drama and plenty of betting opportunities. Here’s a recap of our best picks for the night:

✅ France to Win & Both Teams to Score– 4.30
✅ Portugal to Win & Both Teams to Score– 4.75
✅ Draw in Italy v Germany– 3.20
✅ Both Teams to Score & Draw in Netherlands v Spain– 4.30

Bet on the Nations League