April 10, 2025
2 Minute Read
Valencia v Sevilla Prediction, Odds & Betting Tips
Friday | 19:00 UTC | Mestalla | La Liga
Two fallen giants of Spanish football clash on Friday night as Valencia host Sevilla at Mestalla to kick off the weekend’s La Liga action. Both sides have struggled for consistency this season, but Los Che come into this one with confidence after a massive result last time out.
Valencia Riding High After Bernabeu Shock
Carlos Corberan’s side pulled off one of the upsets of the season last weekend, beating Real Madrid 2-1 at the Bernabeu with a stoppage-time winner from Hugo Duro. That was their first away league win of the campaign, but at home, they’ve looked far more comfortable. Valencia have won 5 of their last 6 at Mestalla in La Liga, a run that’s helped steer them away from danger. They’re now just 2 points behind Sevilla in the table and will see this as a big chance to leapfrog them.
Sevilla Sinking Fast
It’s been a rough few weeks for Sevilla. Garcia Pimienta’s side have lost 3 in a row, tough fixtures, yes, but the performances haven’t inspired much. Losses to Athletic Bilbao, Real Betis, and Atletico Madrid have all but ended their faint European hopes. They’ve lacked a cutting edge in recent weeks and now face another tricky test away from home, where they’ve failed to win in 10 of their last 13 league games.
How the Bookies See It
Valencia are 2.26 with Mega Dice to get the win, and that price looks very fair based on recent home form. Sevilla are 3.40 outsiders, with the draw at 3.05.
Head-to-Head: Cards, Chaos, and No Home Wins
It’s been spicy when these two meet. 4 of the last 6 meetings have seen a red card shown, and every time, it’s gone to the home side. On top of that, none of the last 6 meetings have ended in a win for the home team. Something to think about.
Players to Watch
For Sevilla, Dodi Lukebakio is the danger man. He’s scored 11 league goals this season, which is over 30% of their total. He also averages 2.4 shots per game and is likely to be their best route to goal again.
Valencia will welcome back Jose Luis Gaya and Luis Rioja from suspension, both of whom add width and delivery. With Sadiq likely to lead the line again, he could be the main beneficiary.
Predicted Lineups
Valencia: Mamardashvili; Gaya, Diakhaby, Tarrega, Mosquera; Rioja, Guerra, Barrenechea, Almeida; D. Lopez, Sadiq
Sevilla: Nyland; Salas, Gudelj, Bade, Carmona; Agoume, Sow, Lokonga; Ejuke, Romero, Lukebakio
Stephen’s Betting Tips
Valencia are rolling at home and Sevilla have rarely been outclassed on the road, so there’s value in a narrow home win.
✅ Lukebakio shot on target- 1.70
✅ Over 5.5 Bookings – 2.20
✅ Valencia to Win – 2.26
Odds correct at time of writing.
